Why the "Big Swing" in the Polls of Late?

 Because the polls were never accurate in the first place!  (It's a fool's game, nothing but a fool's game...)

Months ago, the polls had Mandela Barnes, for example, leading in double-digits in Wisconsin's active senatorial race over the incumbent Ron Johnson.  That was never true!

There was never a time this past summer that -- were an election held then -- the polls would have been proven correct.  It was early polling time.  The Dems were hopeful -- oh so hopeful -- that what the professors and pundits were telling them was true:  that the American people overwhelmingly opposed regional restrictions on abortion rights and would turn out at the polls on this single issue to push back culturally at the Republican party.

Never true.  Hope sells, and that was the hope of many Democratic back-room party operatives.  "Bet on the Women.  Women support reproductive rights!  Frame it so that the Supreme Court has taken away something from them..."

But in many states, that's simply not a narrative that holds true.  Federalism doesn't mean anti-choice; it means returning the choices to the whole of the American people, broken into the individual states that make up the union.  Put together as a whole, we unite as the United States, but we don't all have to be uniform out here. Legally, that's our right too, under the US Constitution. Like with capital punishment.

 The State Legislatures, elected by the people who reside there, not the Supreme Court, elected by nobody, should be deciding here. Like we accepted states had varying responses to vaccine/mask mandates during the height of the Covid pandemic. Choices can be restricted locally by the people we elect on health issues, we learned.

A lot of women, formally educated and not, likely understand this.  The media can't push the anti-choice narrative forever.  If you want something, you have to work for it -- and often "vote with your feet" for it -- if you want to progress.  Women in America better than anyone likely understand this.  Independence helps many of us most of all...

We know things, we see things, we've experienced things that are out-of-reach to the safer more sheltered elites, men or women, helping to craft the national narrative today.  Listen to women, listen to your lessers -- economic lessers and professional lessers too.

Let the people lead.  Stop overpaying your pollsters, and look at the track records before you pony up for personal predictions.  Or better yet:  stop with the horse-race coverage of American politics that the global-international news coverage has become, and get re-acquainted with the people of America again at the summer grassroots levels, more than in the professional distancing that accompanies the current cursory drive-by bureau-driven news coverage -- if you want to be able to hold your own post-November when the lands are dormant and snow-covered after the annual bounty has been reaped.  Life goes on then too, even if you're not here to report it.  

Show up and be present, that's the lesson the American workers need to send to the elites today.  You don't have to do the heavy lifting anymore necessarily, but show up for your workers and be present in your leadership so you understand how your decisions are playing out amongst the people you employ.  Government workers too/especially.  

Do you think the professional aberrations caught on tape when we started recorded our government-paid public-servant police officers is unique to their profession? The American people don't; we know better because we've seen it and experienced it. Gosh, the elites are out of touch with so much that's happened today.  They are playing catch up with the facts on the ground now. Let's talk about the "why" another day, when there's less pressing national issues to dispute...

If you purport to still cover America, you'd better start following where the American people are leading today on issues of importance and true Change.

Food, rent and gas are growing more and more unaffordable and our Establishment Congresspeople are flooding the country with more bodies competing for those limited resources.  The dollars rise to price them out of reach for many Americans.  Dumping more money into everyone's accounts did not help.  Let the economic competition rage, but keep the competition fair for all.  Including the legacies and the newcomers and the jackpot winners the elite would select to be lifted out of the twisted economic "competition" they're currently controlling.

The national media and paid pundits need to:

Stop hoping, stop "leading" (you're not), and start simply reporting what his happening in your country too.  (It helps if you start getting serious about addressing American voter needs more than a few weeks before those voters go to the polls.  No more Obama-last-minute cramming, "wonks".  Dem days done!)

------------------------------

* "A Little Less Conversation; A Little More Action".  Mac Davis penned that one for Elvis too, ya know. *wink

Plus, another classic oldie but goodie:  "ah you! telling me the things you gonna do for me... I ain't blind and I don't like what I think I see..."  It's coming, we can see it, even if our more wealth-insulated elder brothers and sisters in America still can't.